WHEN Hillary Clinton won Iowa’s first-in-the-nation caucuses last February, the result was excruciatingly close. Now, with eight weeks to go in the general election campaign, it is clear the Democratic presidential nominee can expect a similarly close race against Donald Trump. Iowa is perhaps the most closely divided state in the country at this stage in the race, with polling averages separating the candidates by less than a single percentage point. For several weeks, those averages showed Mrs Clinton with the advantage. Now, it looks like Mr Trump has inched ahead.
At stake in the small Midwestern state are six electoral votes—a relatively meagre haul compared to other states thought to be in play this year and one that almost certainly means more to Mr Trump than to Mrs Clinton. With larger states like Pennsylvania, Virginia and Colorado looking more solidly Democratic, it is unlikely that Iowa’s result will determine the outcome in a Clinton victory. For Mr Trump, however, who faces a narrower pathway to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the...Continue reading
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